Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.238142 0.270054 0.304136 0.343185 0.386629 0.433415 0.487554
2025-09-28 0.194066 0.236617 0.284963 0.343750 0.413077 0.492002 0.588414
2025-10-05 0.165278 0.214568 0.273626 0.349149 0.442660 0.554104 0.696384
2025-10-12 0.145381 0.199585 0.267654 0.358619 0.476087 0.621667 0.814595
2025-10-19 0.127416 0.184171 0.258580 0.362064 0.500840 0.678907 0.922777
2025-10-26 0.114362 0.173277 0.253594 0.369382 0.529971 0.742452 1.041967
2025-11-02 0.104760 0.165753 0.251930 0.380276 0.563747 0.813245 1.174043
2025-11-09 0.093054 0.153645 0.242302 0.378581 0.579153 0.859147 1.274003
2025-11-16 0.083286 0.143212 0.233847 0.377366 0.594412 0.904844 1.375204
2025-11-23 0.074808 0.133752 0.225773 0.375655 0.608208 0.948471 1.474895
2025-11-30 0.069573 0.128904 0.224231 0.383501 0.636361 1.013914 1.608932
2025-12-07 0.063394 0.121751 0.218262 0.383654 0.652280 1.061472 1.718165
2025-12-14 0.057644 0.114914 0.212495 0.384135 0.669457 1.112983 1.837943
2025-12-21 0.052567 0.108704 0.207186 0.384846 0.686872 1.165592 1.961912
2025-12-28 0.048885 0.104644 0.205176 0.390863 0.713167 1.233285 2.112507
2026-01-04 0.046223 0.102217 0.205794 0.401357 0.747406 1.315167 2.289226
2026-01-11 0.042881 0.098059 0.202846 0.405180 0.770277 1.379399 2.440087
2026-01-18 0.040405 0.095362 0.202341 0.413276 0.800864 1.457594 2.616978
2026-01-25 0.038606 0.093869 0.203962 0.425315 0.838959 1.549939 2.821055
2026-02-01 0.035395 0.088967 0.198472 0.423446 0.851723 1.599482 2.954934
2026-02-08 0.032550 0.084532 0.193495 0.422105 0.865188 1.650582 3.093261
2026-02-15 0.029921 0.080269 0.188468 0.420216 0.877352 1.699695 3.229857
2026-02-22 0.028482 0.078619 0.188739 0.428883 0.909857 1.786171 3.434964